Text Box: CEWARN Reporter The CEWARN Reporter is a database system with a visualization that assists in the data management and analysis. Using the situation and incident reports the display module within the Reporter system produces visualized charts. The chart categories include discrete events (Incidents) and event outcomes (Outcomes) and also sets of indicators that reflect peace and conflict precursors. In addition, the statistical functions that are built into the CEWARN reporter are used to provide the analyst with a picture of the overall contours of the data, particularly deviations from the baselines that can signal abrupt escalation/de-escalation in data trends. The system was developed by Virtual Research Associates (VRA) Boston, USA.

Text Box: CEWARN Indicators The 52 indicators below assist in assessing the situation of the area in terms of peace and conflict. The indicators are dispersed among the 7 categories - communal relations, civil and economic activities, governance & media, natural resource & use, safety & security and social services - intended to cover all aspects of life of the pastoralists that are relevant to the peace and conflict developments of the areas.

Text Box: Outcomes The Outcome data that CEWARN gathers relates to pastoral and pastoral related deaths and livestock losses. Other incidents monitored includes: Raids -- 3 types of Raids (Livestock Theft, Organized Raid, and Raid with Abduction). Armed Clashes -- two kinds of Clashes (Other Armed Clash–between communities and Military Battle –between communities and government or armed forces). Other Crime -- two types of Crimes (Assault and Banditry). Protest Demonstrations -- Protest Demonstrations (Peaceful Protest and Violent Turmoil or Riot).

Success Stories	Alerts & Situation Briefs	Employment	Vignettes
The Conflict Early Warning & Response Mechanism of IGAD

CEWARN Reporter

CEWARN Indicators

Structural Data (AOR)

Environmental Data

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Peace Indictors

Alliance Formation

- Inter-ethnic group alliance

- Ethnic group–government alliance

Exchange Behavior

-Peaceful Celebration

-Inter-group sharing

-Inter-group marriage

-Cross-border trade

-Gift offering

Mitigating Behavior

-Access to health care

-Small arms disclosure

-Arms reduction programme

-Access to education

-Relief distributions

-Markets remain open

-Positive media coverage

-Law enforcement

-Bride price stable

Peace Initiatives

-Women peace messengers

-Weapons reduction program

-NGO peace initiatives

-Local peace initiatives

Conflict Indicators

Armed Intervention

-Internal armed support

- External armed support

Aggravating Behaviors

-Development aid problems

-Media controls

-Migrant laborers

-Interruption of self help activities

-New Markets due to security

-Negative media coverage

-Harmful migration policy

-Pastoral migration

-Harmful livestock policy

-Influx of IDPs

-Security escorts

-Small arms availability

-Bullets as commodities

-Protest

-Separation of groups

-Negotiations taking place

-Student attendance interrupted

-Livestock prices dropped

-Religious peace building

-Post-raid blessing

-Livestock sales increase

-Increase in livestock price

Provocative Behavior

-All-male migration

-Pre-raid blessing

-Traditional forecasting

Environmental Pressure

-Natural disaster

-Land competition

-More livestock in secure areas

-Grazing areas abandoned

-Livestock disease